The New Orleans Pelicans have a strong case for a potential win in their next matchup, primarily due to their demonstrated ability to control the game’s tempo through rebounding. In Game 1, despite the overall poor shooting performance from both teams, the Pelicans excelled at controlling the glass. This ability to dominate rebounds is crucial as it limits the number of second-chance points for the opponent and increases their own opportunities to score. By maintaining this rebounding superiority, the Pelicans can continue to mitigate their shooting woes and keep the game within reach.

Furthermore, rebounding prowess often correlates with better defense, another key area that could propel the Pelicans to victory. By controlling the rebounds, New Orleans not only secures the ball more frequently but also disrupts the rhythm of Oklahoma City’s offense. This disruption is vital, especially against a team that boasts a talent like Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, who can take over a game if given enough opportunities. Keeping the ball out of his hands will be crucial, and dominating the rebounds directly contributes to this strategy.

Offensively, the Pelicans are due for a positive regression. Both teams struggled with their shooting percentages in Game 1, with each team shooting under 45% from the field and below 33% from beyond the arc. These figures are below what these teams are capable of, and a return to the mean is likely, which could favor the Pelicans if their key shooters find their rhythm. Improving their shooting efficiency while continuing to control the boards could give them the edge they need to outscore Oklahoma City.

The mental aspect of the game also plays into New Orleans’ hands. Having kept the previous game close despite the poor shooting suggests that the Pelicans are resilient and capable of executing their game plan under playoff pressure. This resilience, combined with adjustments from the coaching staff, could refine their approach in crucial moments, potentially leading to better execution and decision-making in tight game situations.

Overall, while Oklahoma City may have the best individual player on the floor and the advantage of playing at home, the New Orleans Pelicans have several strategic and situational factors that could lead them to level the series. By leveraging their rebounding strength, expecting a bounce back in shooting performance, and capitalizing on their demonstrated resilience, the Pelicans have a compelling case for securing a win in their next outing.

Prediction: Pelicans