Realistic Expectations for Promising Rookie QBs in 2023

Realistic Expectations for Promising Rookie QBs in 2023

Realistic Expectations for Promising Rookie QBs in 2023


The 2023 NFL draft produced four highly touted rookie quarterbacks who garnered significant attention. As they embark on their professional journey, there is much anticipation surrounding their performance in live preseason action. However, it is essential to set reasonable expectations for these young quarterbacks as they adapt to the rigors of the NFL.

Rising Pressure on Rookie Quarterbacks

In previous years, rookie quarterbacks were granted a two-year grace period to showcase their potential and refine their skills. However, the landscape has changed, and now, the pressure to succeed immediately is at an all-time high. With teams increasingly seeking immediate results, the patience for a prolonged developmental phase is dwindling. The question arises, how many of these drafted quarterbacks’ teams will still be in search of a new passer five years down the line?

Projected Expectations for Bryce Young, Carolina Panthers


– 17 starts
– 3,500 passing yards
– 19+ touchdown passes
– Fewer than 12 interceptions
– At least one running back with 40+ receptions
– Completion percentage of 63% or better
– A top-10 snap-to-throw time

Bryce Young’s success largely hinges on the offensive scheme employed by the Carolina Panthers. With esteemed coaches like Frank Reich, Thomas Brown, and Josh McCown guiding him, Young’s familiarity with the playbook should give him an edge. His astute understanding of the game during his tenure at Alabama opens up possibilities for a broader range of plays early on. Leveraging running back Miles Sanders as a reliable checkdown option could mirror the success of NFL greats like Drew Brees. Young’s quick-strike ability will be pivotal as he takes on the challenges of the NFL.

Find more about Bryce Young on his NFL player page.

Projected Expectations for C.J. Stroud


– 17 starts
– Better than 60% completion rate
– Positive completion percentage above expectation
– Fewer than 60 rushing attempts

C.J. Stroud’s best-case projection centers on maintaining the level of excellence he displayed in college. Straying away from an overreliance on rushing will be vital in assessing his comfort level with the pace and complexity of the NFL. The transition from college to the NFL may result in fewer open receivers, posing a challenge for Stroud to adapt. His ability to navigate the pocket and connect with receivers within a new offensive system will be crucial in shaping his potential as a franchise quarterback.

Learn more about C.J. Stroud on his NFL player page.

Projected Expectations for Anthony Richardson, Indianapolis Colts


– More than 2,500 passing yards and 10 touchdowns
– Fewer than 10 fumbles
– More than 5.5 yards per attempt rushing
– Winning the starting job outright in training camp

Anthony Richardson’s performance during training camp will be a pivotal factor in the Colts’ quarterback competition. While Gardner Minshew brings prior knowledge of the system, Richardson’s adaptability to the offense and display of his innate potential will be critical. Striking a balance between his ground game and passing abilities could make him a game-changer for the Colts. Protecting the ball during crucial opportunities and making strategic use of his mobility will solidify his case as a long-term quarterback option.

Discover more about Anthony Richardson on his NFL player page.

Projected Expectations for Will Levis


– Fewer than three starts
– A highlight-worthy deep shot during training camp
– Consistent and smooth drop-backs
– Four total situational touchdowns

Will Levis’ focus this offseason will be laying the foundation for future success. Embracing the offensive system and exhibiting consistent drop-backs will showcase his potential. Levis’ strong arm could create excitement with a couple of 50+ yard touchdown throws during training camp. His robust physique might make him a valuable asset near the goal line, providing relief to star rusher Derrick Henry.

Learn more about Will Levis on his NFL player page.

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